Hurricane Laura forecast to make landfall as devastating Cat. 4 storm

By WRAL Severe Weather Center

Hurricane Laura is intensifying rapidly and could become a devastating Category 4 storm by Wednesday afternoon.

Laura is forecast to make landfall halfway between New Orleans and Houston, somewhere along the Texas-Louisiana line, Wednesday night. Whether it’s a Cat. 3 or a Cat. 4 storm when it makes landfall, it will bring life-threatening conditions to the Gulf States, according to Elizabeth Gardner.

Storm surge up to 14 feet and the flooding it produces will be the among the most damaging impacts of Laura, Gardner said. Between 4 to 8 inches of rain are likely, with 12 inches possible.

“In Louisiana, so much of that coast is at sea level – it’s flat – so it’s going to be devastating for them,” Gardner said.

Powerful winds and heavy rain will also impact the Gulf states, with effects stretching from Texas to the Florida panhandle. Louisiana, the victim of Hurricane Katrina in 2005, will likely get the brunt of the storm, according to Gardner.

More than 385,000 residents were told to flee the Texas cities of Beaumont, Galveston and Port Arthur, and another 200,000 were ordered to leave low-lying Calcasieu Parish in southwestern Louisiana

The areas within the storm’s path that have issued mandatory evacuation orders include Port Arthur, Texas, which has the nation’s largest oil refinery, and Cameron Parish, Louisiana, just across the state line. Oil and gas companies have also evacuated workers from offshore production platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

North Carolina won’t be impacted by Laura apart from some rain coming our way next weekend, Gardner said.

Why Laura is gaining strength over the Gulf

Water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico are warm, with temperatures in the mid-80s, which will likely cause Laura to strengthen as it gets closer to the U.S.

“Warm sea surface temperatures really help these storms fuel and intensify,” WRAL Peta Sheerwood said.

This year’s Atlantic hurricane season has been busy, with record-setting storms. Tropical Storm Marco was the earliest named M storm in recorded history, according to WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze.

Gerry Bell, lead hurricane season forecaster with the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said there could be 19 to 25 named storms — those with sustained winds above 38 mph, or 61 kph — before the season ends Nov. 30.

Of those, seven to 11 could be hurricanes, with sustained winds of 74 mph or higher, including three to six major ones.

If all the names on the list of 2020 storm names are used before hurricane season ends, meteorologists will use Greek letters to refer to the storms.

Laura is the 12th named storm of the 2020 season, and Marco the 13th.