Parts of central North Carolina under flash flood risk on Friday as widespread, heavy rain expected

By WRAL Severe Weather Center

Raleigh, N.C. — The first round of storms began Thursday night, and are expected to continue throughout most of the day on Friday.

On Thursday night, power outages, wind damage and downed trees were reported throughout central North Carolina.

“We had a report of trees down in Southern Pines,” Maze said, adding that several other towns also reported trees down.

Friday morning will begin with a soggy commute, according to WRAL meteorologist Kat Campbell.

“We have an 80 percent chance of rain and storms in the forecast through noon,” she added.

The biggest concern with Friday’s storms will be flooding — with the eastern half of the WRAL viewing area under a medium risk for flooding.

“The problem is, there’s really not a great time to avoid the rain. If you leave early in the day, you’re going to run into rain [in the Triangle] and if you leave later in the day, you’ll probably run into rain at the coast,” said Campbell.

The rain will gradually abate by the end of the day on Friday, moving out of the Triangle by the evening commute and counties to the east as the evening wears on.

“Once we get to the afternoon, we start to see some of the rain taper off,” said Campbell. “We do improve as we head into Friday night.”

Before it ends, this system could bring an estimated 1 to 3 inches of rain, and Wake and counties to the east are under a medium risk for flash flooding through Friday.

“Friday will be the wettest day of the week as a cold front moves through NC but the weekend is trending drier,” Campbell said.

The rain will limit highs on Friday, with temperatures only reaching the upper 70s and low 80s.

4th of July planning

There may be a few sprinkles on Saturday morning, but not enough to ruin your holiday plans. But on Sunday, expect dry weather with lower humidity and temps in the mid-80s.

“If you’re headed to the beach this weekend – you’re in luck – the weather looks fabulous,” said Campbell.

Those at the beach on Thursday, Friday or Saturday, be aware there is a moderate rip current risk.

If you’re heading to the coast for the holiday weekend you should see some nice weather after storms move through on Friday. Rain chances are high on Friday, but low on Saturday and nonexistent on Sunday and Monday, so make be sure to pack the sunblock.

By 9 p.m. on Sunday, it will be 73 degrees — a bit cooler than normal for this time of year.

Tropical Storm Elsa moving fast

Two new weather systems have developed out to sea and are projected to head toward the United States. This is the earliest date to see a fifth named storm during hurricane season.

Elsa reached tropical storm strength on Thursday morning and will bring heavy rain across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands on Friday. The system is moving west quickly at 25 miles per hour with winds as high as 50 miles per hour.

Elsa’s track shifted slightly east on Thursday night as it recurves toward Florida. It includes southern Georgia going out to 8 p.m. on Tuesday.

The storm is likely to weaken a bit as it passes over the Caribbean and re-gains strength as it moves closer to Florida.

It will likely remain a tropical storm for the next five days, according to Gardner. Its possible that North Carolina could get remnant rainfall from the storm in the middle of next week.

Campbell says these systems are still days away from potentially making an impact on the U.S., but that if you’re planning any July 4 trips to the tropics, it’s something that may impact your travel.

“The big question is which islands Elsa interacts with this weekend,” said Campbell. “The mountainous terrain coult have a big impact on it. The latest American model still brings remnant rain here early Thursday.”